divergence
brazil-2026-electoral-divergence
AFOS — Brazil 2026 Electoral Divergence Dataset
🌐 English · Português · Español
English
Open, auditable daily dataset that cross-references prediction markets (Polymarket) × polling institutes (TSE-registered) × press coverage for Brazil's 2026 presidential cycle, with explicit divergence between sources instead of smoothed averages.
Maintained by AFOS Analytics — open-source civic infrastructure for electoral political-risk intelligence. This is the public… See the full description on the dataset page: https://huggingface.co/datasets/AFOS-Analytics1/brazil-2026-electoral-divergence.usa-2026-midterms-divergence
AFOS — US 2026 Midterms Divergence (v1.0.0, pre-electoral)
What the market priced and what the polls measured about the same election, day by day, before it happened.
⚠️ Pre-electoral bundle. The election is on November 3, 2026. There is no certified result to score these forecasts against, so this is not the gold-standard version. See DATASHEET.md. The v2, after certification, closes the cycle.
What is inside
419 national generic-ballot polls from 71… See the full description on the dataset page: https://huggingface.co/datasets/AFOS-Analytics1/usa-2026-midterms-divergence.funding-divergence
Chainticks Funding Divergence
Derived cross-venue funding-rate divergence rows built only from publishable inputs.
import pandas as pd
DATE = "YYYY-MM-DD"
URL = "https://huggingface.co/datasets/Chainticks/funding-divergence/resolve/main/spreads/date={DATE}/part-0000.parquet"
df = pd.read_parquet(URL)
print(df.head())
Layout
spreads/date=YYYY-MM-DD/part-0000.parquet
_schema.json
_manifest.json
LATEST_DATE.txt
Provenance
Rows must have source_kind… See the full description on the dataset page: https://huggingface.co/datasets/Chainticks/funding-divergence.peru-2026-electoral-divergence
AFOS · Peru 2026 Electoral Divergence Dataset
🌐 English · Español · Português
Open dataset cross-referencing opinion polls × prediction markets for Peru's 2026 general election (first round 12 April 2026; runoff 7 June 2026, Keiko Fujimori vs Roberto Sánchez), built in the same spirit as the AFOS Brazil 2026 dataset: sources are reported side by side with explicit divergence, not blended into a single average.
Maintained by AFOS Analytics. This is part of AFOS's expansion of… See the full description on the dataset page: https://huggingface.co/datasets/AFOS-Analytics1/peru-2026-electoral-divergence.colombia-2026-electoral-divergence
AFOS · Colombia 2026 Electoral Divergence Dataset
🌐 English · Español · Português
Open dataset cross-referencing opinion polls × prediction markets for Colombia's 2026 presidential election (first round 31 May 2026; runoff 21 June 2026, Abelardo de la Espriella vs Iván Cepeda), built like the AFOS Brazil & Peru datasets: sources are reported side by side with explicit divergence, not blended into a single average.
Maintained by AFOS Analytics. Part of AFOS's expansion of its… See the full description on the dataset page: https://huggingface.co/datasets/AFOS-Analytics1/colombia-2026-electoral-divergence.canada-2025-electoral-divergence
AFOS · Canada 2025 Electoral Divergence Dataset
🌐 English · Português · Español
Open dataset cross-referencing opinion polls × prediction markets for Canada's 2025 federal election (House of Commons, 28 April 2025), in the same spirit as the AFOS Brazil 2026 dataset: sources reported side by side with explicit divergence, not blended into one average.
Maintained by AFOS Analytics. No personal data, only public electoral information. Party-level: polls measure party vote… See the full description on the dataset page: https://huggingface.co/datasets/AFOS-Analytics1/canada-2025-electoral-divergence.