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Batak Toba - Wikilangs Models

Comprehensive Research Report & Full Ablation Study

This repository contains NLP models trained and evaluated by Wikilangs, specifically on Batak Toba Wikipedia data. We analyze tokenizers, n-gram models, Markov chains, vocabulary statistics, and word embeddings.

📋 Repository Contents

Models & Assets

  • Tokenizers (8k, 16k, 32k, 64k)
  • N-gram models (2, 3, 4, 5-gram)
  • Markov chains (context of 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5)
  • Subword N-gram and Markov chains
  • Embeddings in various sizes and dimensions (aligned and unaligned)
  • Language Vocabulary
  • Language Statistics

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Analysis and Evaluation


1. Tokenizer Evaluation

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Results

Vocab SizeCompressionAvg Token LenUNK RateTotal Tokens
8k3.300x3.300.2266%1,666,856
16k3.529x3.530.2423%1,558,753
32k3.662x 🏆3.660.2515%1,502,009

Tokenization Examples

Below are sample sentences tokenized with each vocabulary size:

Sample 1: Janji i ma sada huta (desa) na adong di Kecamatan Siempat Nempu Hilir, Kabupaten...

VocabTokensCount
8k▁janji ▁i ▁ma ▁sada ▁huta ▁( desa ) ▁na ▁adong ... (+16 more)26
16k▁janji ▁i ▁ma ▁sada ▁huta ▁( desa ) ▁na ▁adong ... (+16 more)26
32k▁janji ▁i ▁ma ▁sada ▁huta ▁( desa ) ▁na ▁adong ... (+16 more)26

Sample 2: Siboras i ma sada huta (desa) na adong di Kecamatan Silima Pungga Pungga, Kabupa...

VocabTokensCount
8k▁sib oras ▁i ▁ma ▁sada ▁huta ▁( desa ) ▁na ... (+16 more)26
16k▁siboras ▁i ▁ma ▁sada ▁huta ▁( desa ) ▁na ▁adong ... (+15 more)25
32k▁siboras ▁i ▁ma ▁sada ▁huta ▁( desa ) ▁na ▁adong ... (+15 more)25

Sample 3: Sukorejo i ma sada huta na adong di Kecamatan Ulujami, Kabupaten Pemalang, Propi...

VocabTokensCount
8k▁suk orejo ▁i ▁ma ▁sada ▁huta ▁na ▁adong ▁di ▁kecamatan ... (+11 more)21
16k▁sukorejo ▁i ▁ma ▁sada ▁huta ▁na ▁adong ▁di ▁kecamatan ▁ulujami ... (+10 more)20
32k▁sukorejo ▁i ▁ma ▁sada ▁huta ▁na ▁adong ▁di ▁kecamatan ▁ulujami ... (+10 more)20

Key Findings

  • Best Compression: 32k achieves 3.662x compression
  • Lowest UNK Rate: 8k with 0.2266% unknown tokens
  • Trade-off: Larger vocabularies improve compression but increase model size
  • Recommendation: 32k vocabulary provides optimal balance for production use

2. N-gram Model Evaluation

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Results

N-gramVariantPerplexityEntropyUnique N-gramsTop-100 CoverageTop-1000 Coverage
2-gramWord8,50313.0526,40417.5%42.9%
2-gramSubword185 🏆7.533,44777.7%99.2%
3-gramWord22,44914.4543,1378.4%25.3%
3-gramSubword1,21610.2518,04638.1%83.2%
4-gramWord44,36015.4467,5845.9%16.2%
4-gramSubword5,58712.4570,06119.7%54.7%
5-gramWord29,77414.8642,9107.1%18.6%
5-gramSubword17,40314.09153,43012.1%36.7%

Top 5 N-grams by Size

2-grams (Word):

RankN-gramCount
1angka na4,424
2dung i4,327
3ni si4,060
4i ma3,682
5ni jahowa2,892

3-grams (Word):

RankN-gramCount
1anak ni si1,613
2i ma sada784
3na adong di741
4dung i ninna735
5hata ni jahowa703

4-grams (Word):

RankN-gramCount
1on do hata ni423
2i ma sada huta417
3songon on do hata408
4na adong di kecamatan353
5angka anak ni si336

5-grams (Word):

RankN-gramCount
1songon on do hata ni406
2on do hata ni jahowa250
3i ma sada huta na215
4desa na adong di kecamatan191
5km jala godang ni ruasna175

2-grams (Subword):

RankN-gramCount
1a _206,965
2a n205,323
3n g154,062
4i _142,882
5n a122,548

3-grams (Subword):

RankN-gramCount
1a n g81,918
2_ m a76,355
3n a _58,981
4_ n a53,557
5a n _51,287

4-grams (Subword):

RankN-gramCount
1_ n i _34,904
2_ n a _33,621
3_ d i _25,919
4a n g k24,948
5_ m a _23,827

5-grams (Subword):

RankN-gramCount
1a n g k a19,235
2_ a n g k17,946
3n g k a _17,765
4_ j a l a14,671
5j a l a _14,594

Key Findings

  • Best Perplexity: 2-gram (subword) with 185
  • Entropy Trend: Decreases with larger n-grams (more predictable)
  • Coverage: Top-1000 patterns cover ~37% of corpus
  • Recommendation: 4-gram or 5-gram for best predictive performance

3. Markov Chain Evaluation

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Results

ContextVariantAvg EntropyPerplexityBranching FactorUnique ContextsPredictability
1Word0.91991.8926.4450,4918.0%
1Subword0.92881.9047.091,4317.1%
2Word0.37461.2962.02324,95262.5%
2Subword0.70341.6284.0410,14429.7%
3Word0.15371.1121.28656,96484.6%
3Subword0.64721.5663.1740,95035.3%
4Word0.0591 🏆1.0421.09838,36994.1%
4Subword0.52061.4352.40129,60147.9%

Generated Text Samples (Word-based)

Below are text samples generated from each word-based Markov chain model:

Context Size 1:

  1. 1.ni tano naung leleng on marupaya maningkathon kesadaran masarakat na pauli pintu ni si hannas dohot
  2. 2.na talup do angka naposongku alai anggo raoanna nang jahudi tubu ni halak batak di tongatongamu
  3. 3.i si arni anak ni harangan na mengatur istimewa dok gumodang sian saluhut na nidabuna i

Context Size 2:

  1. 1.angka na di ginjang ni angka ompunami umbahen manjadi angka i tu ahu do jahowa molo ahu
  2. 2.dung i ro di salelenglelengna psalmen 94 94 1 ale anaha sai parateatehon hamu panariason ni bibirhon
  3. 3.ni si jakkob anak ni si rehabeam di jerusalem 7 17 dua lombu lima birubiru tunggal sada

Context Size 3:

  1. 1.anak ni si aron hahanasida i marhalado di joro ni jahowa tungkan jolo ni rimberimbe i 40 27
  2. 2.i ma sada nagara na maringanan di lobu panjang
  3. 3.na adong di halak batak toba tombur tarbahen sian sibuk ni manuk na dibumbui

Context Size 4:

  1. 1.on do hata ni tuhan jahowa nunga pola hupatoltol tanganku maruari ingkon lehononku do i tu ompumuna ...
  2. 2.i ma sada huta na adong di kecamatan silima pungga pungga kabupaten dairi propinsi sumatera utara in...
  3. 3.songon on do hata ni tuhan jahowa hape so tutu jahowa mandok 22 29 ia situan na torop isi

Generated Text Samples (Subword-based)

Below are text samples generated from each subword-based Markov chain model:

Context Size 1:

  1. 1._man_i_sa_nina_s
  2. 2.amai_palalaseu_n
  3. 3.ndi_ᯔ_no_pa_de_d

Context Size 2:

  1. 1.a_lamar_na._jalut
  2. 2.ani_ni_ahit_bando
  3. 3.ng_dongkop_hot_ad

Context Size 3:

  1. 1.angitlawa_rajai,_d
  2. 2._marhalahite_hite_
  3. 3.na_sapangku_imbolo

Context Size 4:

  1. 1._ni_jahowa_hamu_ang
  2. 2._na_marsaro_mameuth
  3. 3._di_jeremia_7_novem

Key Findings

  • Best Predictability: Context-4 (word) with 94.1% predictability
  • Branching Factor: Decreases with context size (more deterministic)
  • Memory Trade-off: Larger contexts require more storage (129,601 contexts)
  • Recommendation: Context-3 or Context-4 for text generation

4. Vocabulary Analysis

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Statistics

MetricValue
Vocabulary Size24,923
Total Tokens971,594
Mean Frequency38.98
Median Frequency4
Frequency Std Dev557.86

Most Common Words

RankWordFrequency
1ni34,971
2na33,958
3i32,913
4ma26,658
5di25,940
6tu20,429
7do19,116
8angka17,411
9jala14,584
10dohot13,515

Least Common Words (from vocabulary)

RankWordFrequency
1ᯇᯔᯒᯪᯉ᯲ᯖ2
2kayo2
3uttar2
4ltr2
5font2
6ebrima2
7border2
8cellpadding2
9td2
10align2

Zipf's Law Analysis

MetricValue
Zipf Coefficient1.1806
R² (Goodness of Fit)0.997033
Adherence Qualityexcellent

Coverage Analysis

Top N WordsCoverage
Top 10053.7%
Top 1,00078.5%
Top 5,00091.4%
Top 10,00095.7%

Key Findings

  • Zipf Compliance: R²=0.9970 indicates excellent adherence to Zipf's law
  • High Frequency Dominance: Top 100 words cover 53.7% of corpus
  • Long Tail: 14,923 words needed for remaining 4.3% coverage

5. Word Embeddings Evaluation

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5.1 Cross-Lingual Alignment

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5.2 Model Comparison

ModelDimensionIsotropySemantic DensityAlignment R@1Alignment R@10
mono_32d320.81330.3464N/AN/A
mono_64d640.77150.2725N/AN/A
mono_128d1280.47090.2523N/AN/A
aligned_32d320.8133 🏆0.33860.01400.1240
aligned_64d640.77150.27800.05600.2460
aligned_128d1280.47090.25250.13400.3160

Key Findings

  • Best Isotropy: aligned_32d with 0.8133 (more uniform distribution)
  • Semantic Density: Average pairwise similarity of 0.2900. Lower values indicate better semantic separation.
  • Alignment Quality: Aligned models achieve up to 13.4% R@1 in cross-lingual retrieval.
  • Recommendation: 128d aligned for best cross-lingual performance

6. Morphological Analysis (Experimental)

This section presents an automated morphological analysis derived from the statistical divergence between word-level and subword-level models. By analyzing where subword predictability spikes and where word-level coverage fails, we can infer linguistic structures without supervised data.

6.1 Productivity & Complexity

MetricValueInterpretationRecommendation
Productivity Index5.000High morphological productivityReliable analysis
Idiomaticity Gap-0.493Low formulaic content-

6.2 Affix Inventory (Productive Units)

These are the most productive prefixes and suffixes identified by sampling the vocabulary for global substitutability patterns. A unit is considered an affix if stripping it leaves a valid stem that appears in other contexts.

Productive Prefixes
PrefixExamples
-mamangain, manuhati, mamingkiri
-papangir, pahosing, parsonduk
-didisiorhon, didege, diri
-manmangain, manuhati, mangkasiholi
-marmarilah, marhabanhaban, marnioli
-hahapistaranmuna, harajaon, hanna
-parparsonduk, partalianta, parnidaan
-sisitorus, sitalutuk, sinimpan
Productive Suffixes
SuffixExamples
-ndisiorhon, mangain, getasan
-aacara, opatsa, hapistaranmuna
-ondisiorhon, harajaon, mandaon
-angetasan, nangkohan, bulanan
-nahapistaranmuna, etonganna, utamana
-hondisiorhon, hinungkuphon, ditoishon
-nghumosing, pahosing, taretong
-nnaetonganna, hanna, salpuanna

6.3 Bound Stems (Lexical Roots)

Bound stems are high-frequency subword units that are semantically cohesive but rarely appear as standalone words. These often correspond to the 'core' of a word that requires inflection or derivation to be valid.

StemCohesionSubstitutabilityExamples
anga1.61x127 contextsangan, langa, sanga
angk1.53x157 contextsangka, bangko, angkal
ngka1.56x89 contextsangka, bungka, engkau
mang1.64x61 contextsamang, mangan, memang
ngko1.70x42 contextsbangko, ingkon, angkot
bang1.45x72 contextsbange, abang, bangis
ingk1.48x60 contextslingka, ingkau, ingkon
onga1.68x36 contextstonga, longa, bongal
bahe1.79x26 contextsbahen, dibahe, ibahen
ngan1.40x65 contextsangan, ingan, mangan
ongo1.62x36 contextslongo, kongo, rongom
angg1.31x78 contextsanggi, anggo, angguk

6.4 Affix Compatibility (Co-occurrence)

This table shows which prefixes and suffixes most frequently co-occur on the same stems, revealing the 'stacking' rules of the language's morphology.

PrefixSuffixFrequencyExamples
-pa-n358 wordsparsapataan, partingkian
-ma-n206 wordsmarpadanpadan, marharajaon
-pa-on200 wordspatoltolhon, paimbarhon
-pa-a184 wordspallawa, pasalihonsa
-pa-an157 wordsparsapataan, partingkian
-di-n156 wordsdisiaphon, dilembagahon
-di-on134 wordsdisiaphon, dilembagahon
-ha-n128 wordshasundatan, hasusaan
-pa-na119 wordsparsuhatonmuna, pabalionna
-ma-on116 wordsmarharajaon, mangaluhon

6.5 Recursive Morpheme Segmentation

Using Recursive Hierarchical Substitutability, we decompose complex words into their constituent morphemes. This approach handles nested affixes (e.g., prefix-prefix-root-suffix).

WordSuggested SplitConfidenceStem
pabotohononku`pa-boto-hon-on-ku`9.0boto
paradiananku`par-adian-an-ku`7.5adian
sipasahaton`si-pa-sahat-on`7.5sahat
marparmangsian`mar-par-mang-sian`7.5sian
panailingku`pan-aili-ng-ku`7.5aili
pardonganan`par-dong-an-an`7.5dong
marhamuliaon`mar-ha-mulia-on`7.5mulia
diparsiajari`di-par-si-ajari`7.5ajari
sipaingotna`si-pa-ingot-na`7.5ingot
sipatudoson`si-pa-tudos-on`7.5tudos
dipangasahon`di-pan-gasa-hon`7.5gasa
situtungon`si-tutu-ng-on`7.5tutu
pasahaton`pa-sahat-on`6.0sahat
parbungkason`par-bungkas-on`6.0bungkas
dipajomba`di-pa-jomba`6.0jomba

6.6 Linguistic Interpretation

Automated Insight:

The language Batak Toba shows high morphological productivity. The subword models are significantly more efficient than word models, suggesting a rich system of affixation or compounding.


7. Summary & Recommendations

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Production Recommendations

ComponentRecommendedRationale
Tokenizer32k BPEBest compression (3.66x)
N-gram2-gramLowest perplexity (185)
MarkovContext-4Highest predictability (94.1%)
Embeddings100dBalanced semantic capture and isotropy

Appendix: Metrics Glossary & Interpretation Guide

This section provides definitions, intuitions, and guidance for interpreting the metrics used throughout this report.

Tokenizer Metrics

Compression Ratio

Definition: The ratio of characters to tokens (chars/token). Measures how efficiently the tokenizer represents text. Intuition: Higher compression means fewer tokens needed to represent the same text, reducing sequence lengths for downstream models. A 3x compression means ~3 characters per token on average. What to seek: Higher is generally better for efficiency, but extremely high compression may indicate overly aggressive merging that loses morphological information.

Average Token Length (Fertility)

Definition: Mean number of characters per token produced by the tokenizer. Intuition: Reflects the granularity of tokenization. Longer tokens capture more context but may struggle with rare words; shorter tokens are more flexible but increase sequence length. What to seek: Balance between 2-5 characters for most languages. Arabic/morphologically-rich languages may benefit from slightly longer tokens.

Unknown Token Rate (OOV Rate)

Definition: Percentage of tokens that map to the unknown/UNK token, indicating words the tokenizer cannot represent. Intuition: Lower OOV means better vocabulary coverage. High OOV indicates the tokenizer encounters many unseen character sequences. What to seek: Below 1% is excellent; below 5% is acceptable. BPE tokenizers typically achieve very low OOV due to subword fallback.

N-gram Model Metrics

Perplexity

Definition: Measures how "surprised" the model is by test data. Mathematically: 2^(cross-entropy). Lower values indicate better prediction. Intuition: If perplexity is 100, the model is as uncertain as if choosing uniformly among 100 options at each step. A perplexity of 10 means effectively choosing among 10 equally likely options. What to seek: Lower is better. Perplexity decreases with larger n-grams (more context). Values vary widely by language and corpus size.

Entropy

Definition: Average information content (in bits) needed to encode the next token given the context. Related to perplexity: perplexity = 2^entropy. Intuition: High entropy means high uncertainty/randomness; low entropy means predictable patterns. Natural language typically has entropy between 1-4 bits per character. What to seek: Lower entropy indicates more predictable text patterns. Entropy should decrease as n-gram size increases.

Coverage (Top-K)

Definition: Percentage of corpus occurrences explained by the top K most frequent n-grams. Intuition: High coverage with few patterns indicates repetitive/formulaic text; low coverage suggests diverse vocabulary usage. What to seek: Depends on use case. For language modeling, moderate coverage (40-60% with top-1000) is typical for natural text.

Markov Chain Metrics

Average Entropy

Definition: Mean entropy across all contexts, measuring average uncertainty in next-word prediction. Intuition: Lower entropy means the model is more confident about what comes next. Context-1 has high entropy (many possible next words); Context-4 has low entropy (few likely continuations). What to seek: Decreasing entropy with larger context sizes. Very low entropy (<0.1) indicates highly deterministic transitions.

Branching Factor

Definition: Average number of unique next tokens observed for each context. Intuition: High branching = many possible continuations (flexible but uncertain); low branching = few options (predictable but potentially repetitive). What to seek: Branching factor should decrease with context size. Values near 1.0 indicate nearly deterministic chains.

Predictability

Definition: Derived metric: (1 - normalized_entropy) × 100%. Indicates how deterministic the model's predictions are. Intuition: 100% predictability means the next word is always certain; 0% means completely random. Real text falls between these extremes. What to seek: Higher predictability for text generation quality, but too high (>98%) may produce repetitive output.

Vocabulary & Zipf's Law Metrics

Zipf's Coefficient

Definition: The slope of the log-log plot of word frequency vs. rank. Zipf's law predicts this should be approximately -1. Intuition: A coefficient near -1 indicates the corpus follows natural language patterns where a few words are very common and most words are rare. What to seek: Values between -0.8 and -1.2 indicate healthy natural language distribution. Deviations may suggest domain-specific or artificial text.

R² (Coefficient of Determination)

Definition: Measures how well the linear fit explains the frequency-rank relationship. Ranges from 0 to 1. Intuition: R² near 1.0 means the data closely follows Zipf's law; lower values indicate deviation from expected word frequency patterns. What to seek: R² > 0.95 is excellent; > 0.99 indicates near-perfect Zipf adherence typical of large natural corpora.

Vocabulary Coverage

Definition: Cumulative percentage of corpus tokens accounted for by the top N words. Intuition: Shows how concentrated word usage is. If top-100 words cover 50% of text, the corpus relies heavily on common words. What to seek: Top-100 covering 30-50% is typical. Higher coverage indicates more repetitive text; lower suggests richer vocabulary.

Word Embedding Metrics

Isotropy

Definition: Measures how uniformly distributed vectors are in the embedding space. Computed as the ratio of minimum to maximum singular values. Intuition: High isotropy (near 1.0) means vectors spread evenly in all directions; low isotropy means vectors cluster in certain directions, reducing expressiveness. What to seek: Higher isotropy generally indicates better-quality embeddings. Values > 0.1 are reasonable; > 0.3 is good. Lower-dimensional embeddings tend to have higher isotropy.

Average Norm

Definition: Mean magnitude (L2 norm) of word vectors in the embedding space. Intuition: Indicates the typical "length" of vectors. Consistent norms suggest stable training; high variance may indicate some words are undertrained. What to seek: Relatively consistent norms across models. The absolute value matters less than consistency (low std deviation).

Cosine Similarity

Definition: Measures angular similarity between vectors, ranging from -1 (opposite) to 1 (identical direction). Intuition: Words with similar meanings should have high cosine similarity. This is the standard metric for semantic relatedness in embeddings. What to seek: Semantically related words should score > 0.5; unrelated words should be near 0. Synonyms often score > 0.7.

t-SNE Visualization

Definition: t-Distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding - a dimensionality reduction technique that preserves local structure for visualization. Intuition: Clusters in t-SNE plots indicate groups of semantically related words. Spread indicates vocabulary diversity; tight clusters suggest semantic coherence. What to seek: Meaningful clusters (e.g., numbers together, verbs together). Avoid over-interpreting distances - t-SNE preserves local, not global, structure.

General Interpretation Guidelines

  1. 1.Compare within model families: Metrics are most meaningful when comparing models of the same type (e.g., 8k vs 64k tokenizer).
  2. 2.Consider trade-offs: Better performance on one metric often comes at the cost of another (e.g., compression vs. OOV rate).
  3. 3.Context matters: Optimal values depend on downstream tasks. Text generation may prioritize different metrics than classification.
  4. 4.Corpus influence: All metrics are influenced by corpus characteristics. Wikipedia text differs from social media or literature.
  5. 5.Language-specific patterns: Morphologically rich languages (like Arabic) may show different optimal ranges than analytic languages.

Visualizations Index

VisualizationDescription
Tokenizer CompressionCompression ratios by vocabulary size
Tokenizer FertilityAverage token length by vocabulary
Tokenizer OOVUnknown token rates
Tokenizer Total TokensTotal tokens by vocabulary
N-gram PerplexityPerplexity by n-gram size
N-gram EntropyEntropy by n-gram size
N-gram CoverageTop pattern coverage
N-gram UniqueUnique n-gram counts
Markov EntropyEntropy by context size
Markov BranchingBranching factor by context
Markov ContextsUnique context counts
Zipf's LawFrequency-rank distribution with fit
Vocab FrequencyWord frequency distribution
Top 20 WordsMost frequent words
Vocab CoverageCumulative coverage curve
Embedding IsotropyVector space uniformity
Embedding NormsVector magnitude distribution
Embedding SimilarityWord similarity heatmap
Nearest NeighborsSimilar words for key terms
t-SNE Words2D word embedding visualization
t-SNE Sentences2D sentence embedding visualization
Position EncodingEncoding method comparison
Model SizesStorage requirements
Performance DashboardComprehensive performance overview

About This Project

Data Source

Models trained on wikipedia-monthly - a monthly snapshot of Wikipedia articles across 300+ languages.

Project

A project by [Wikilangs](https://wikilangs.org) - Open-source NLP models for every Wikipedia language.

Maintainer

Omar Kamali - Omneity Labs

Citation

If you use these models in your research, please cite:

bibtex
@misc{wikilangs2025,
  author = {Kamali, Omar},
  title = {Wikilangs: Open NLP Models for Wikipedia Languages},
  year = {2025},
  doi = {10.5281/zenodo.18073153},
  publisher = {Zenodo},
  url = {https://huggingface.co/wikilangs}
  institution = {Omneity Labs}
}

License

MIT License - Free for academic and commercial use.

Links

Report Date: 2026-01-03 18:37:11