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thegeekybeng/tariff-impact-propagation-model

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🚀 TIPM - Tariff Impact Propagation Model

🌟 Live Demo: [Try TIPM Now!](https://huggingface.co/spaces/thegeekybeng/TIPM-app)

Professional-grade economic intelligence platform for analyzing tariff policy impacts across global supply chains.

🎯 What is TIPM?

TIPM is an advanced 6-layer machine learning pipeline that predicts how tariff changes propagate through:

1.🌍 Trade Networks - Supply chain disruption modeling
2.🏭 Industry Sectors - Economic response prediction
3.🏢 Firm-Level Impact - Employment and adaptation analysis
4.🛒 Consumer Markets - Price and demand forecasting
5.⚖️ Geopolitical Feedback - Social and political response modeling

🚀 Key Features

📊 Multi-Layer Analysis

—Policy Trigger Processing - NLP analysis of tariff announcements
—Trade Flow Modeling - Graph-based supply chain disruption
—Industry Response - Sector-level economic impact prediction
—Firm Impact - Employment and adaptation modeling
—Consumer Impact - Price and demand forecasting
—Geopolitical Feedback - Social and political response analysis

🎯 Advanced Capabilities

—185 Countries with enhanced economic classifications
—Real-time Data Crawling from World Bank, US Census, UN Comtrade
—ML-Powered Validation with anomaly detection
—Ensemble Learning combining multiple prediction models
—Interactive Visualizations with Plotly charts
—Professional Export in multiple formats (CSV, Excel, JSON)

🔍 Smart Classifications

—Emerging Markets identification
—Tech Manufacturing exporter rankings
—Resource Export categorization (Mining, Agriculture)
—Strategic Commodities tracking
—Trade Agreement membership mapping

🎮 How to Use

1. Country Analysis

—Select countries from the dropdown
—Choose analysis parameters
—View comprehensive impact predictions
—Export results for further analysis

2. Sector Analysis

—Focus on specific economic sectors
—Analyze cross-country sector impacts
—Generate sector-specific reports

3. Data Export

—Export analysis results in multiple formats
—Download visualizations and charts
—Generate professional reports

🏗️ Technical Architecture

ML Pipeline

—XGBoost & LightGBM for classification tasks
—LSTM Networks for time series forecasting
—Ensemble Methods for robust predictions
—SHAP Analysis for explainable AI

Data Infrastructure

—Autonomous Data Crawling with RAG capabilities
—Vector Database for intelligent data discovery
—Real-time Validation with quality scoring
—Multi-source Integration from authoritative sources

Web Interface

—Gradio-based responsive design
—Interactive Charts with Plotly
—Professional Export capabilities
—Mobile-friendly interface

📊 Data Sources

—US Census Bureau - Trade statistics
—World Bank - GDP and economic indicators
—USTR - Tariff policy data
—MSCI & FTSE Russell - Market classifications
—OECD - Economic indicators
—UN Statistics Division - Global trade data
—FAO - Agricultural trade data

🔬 Research Applications

—Trade Policy Analysis - Impact assessment
—Supply Chain Risk - Disruption modeling
—Economic Forecasting - GDP and trade prediction
—Policy Recommendation - Evidence-based insights
—Academic Research - Economic modeling studies

🚀 Getting Started

1.Visit the Demo: https://huggingface.co/spaces/thegeekybeng/TIPM
2.Select Countries - Choose from 185 available countries
3.Run Analysis - Use default or custom parameters
4.Explore Results - Interactive charts and detailed predictions
5.Export Data - Download results for further analysis

📚 Documentation

—API Reference: GitHub Repository
—Technical Details: Project Wiki
—Research Papers: Academic Publications

🤝 Contributing

We welcome contributions! Please see our Contributing Guidelines.

📄 License

This project is licensed under the MIT License - see the LICENSE file for details.

📞 Contact

—Developer: thegeekybeng@outlook.com
—GitHub: @thegeekybeng
—Project: TIPM Repository

🌟 Star this project if you find it useful!

🚀 Built with advanced ML, deployed on Hugging Face Spaces